2 Jul 2019

How do we build scenarios in a foresight exercise?

The example of the project Future of Customs in the EU 2040 This article describes the process of building scenarios in a foresight exercise and the role of scenarios in a world of uncertainties, going through continuous transformation. The process was undertaken during the second workshop of the foresight project The Future of Customs in the EU 2040, which took place on24th – 25th June 2019 in Brussels. This second workshop (out of five) was

17 Jun 2019

Megatrends engagement tool increasingly used in the European Commission and beyond

How do global megatrends impact on the future of your policy issue or your work? This is the question around which the reflections centre when people use the megatrends engagement tool developed by the EU Policy Lab. It has recently been applied in different settings to foster the capacity for forward-looking and systemic thinking by using a set of megatrends based on the Megatrends Hub. The Megatrends Hub is a repository of foresight-related information on

11 Jun 2019

“Framing the System and identifying Drivers” in a foresight exercise – what does this really mean?

On May 13 and 14, 2019, the Competence Centre on Foresight inside the EU Policy Lab organized the first expert workshop of The Future of Customs in the EU 2040 project, running on behalf of the Directorate General for Taxation and Customs Union (DG TAXUD) of the European Commission. This was the first one in a series of workshops where we will build future scenarios for how customs could develop by 2040. The purpose of

29 Mar 2019

The Future of Customs in the EU project: using the canvas method for visual reasoning

On February 14, 2019, the EU Policy Lab organized the first scoping workshop as part of the project The Future of EU Customs. This project is run by the European Commission's Joint Research Centre - the Commission's science and knowledge service - for and in partnership with the Commission's Directorate General for taxation and customs (DG TAXUD). The main objective of this workshop was to create a common understanding of the EU customs ecosystem –

22 Feb 2019

The final report on the Future of migration in the European Union is published

What are the relative certainties and uncertainties likely to impact the future of migration in the European Union? What could be possible future developments of migration and integration dynamics in the EU when looking towards 2030? And how can we discuss migration challenges and opportunities in a more forward-looking manner that takes into account perspectives of different migration actors and trends that will impact our societies? The final report of the EU Policy Lab foresight

10 Sep 2018

Migration version of the Scenario Exploration System increasingly used with migration officials, researchers and civil society

Dissemination of the migration version of the Scenario Exploration System (SES) serious game is gaining pace. This summer, the EU Policy Lab was invited to facilitate game sessions and train "scenario exploration masters" at two bigger events. Altogether, over 100 participants experienced the game. In August, we took part in the 6th EMN Educational Seminar on Migration: Causes and Consequences of Forced Migration (22 - 24 August 2018) organised by the UN Migration Agency, International Organisation for

4 Sep 2018

Megatrends workshop with East Poland House

In our foresight work, we use megatrends (long-term driving forces that are observable now and will most likely have significant influence on the future) to consider in a structured way all the various changes going on in different areas. Our basis is a set of 14 global megatrends that are relevant for the future of Europe, organized in the Megatrends Hub. It is also a great way of introducing a structured way of thinking about

2 Jun 2018

Industrial Landscape Generator

The Industrial Landscape Generator is a participatory method developed by the JRC on the basis of its foresight work. It has been developed on demand from services of the European Commission to produce practical recommendations for action in the context of industrial policy. It has been applied to diverse industrial sectors. The tool takes a long-term perspective (vision) and generates recommendations for all relevant stakeholders, especially policy makers and the selected industrial sectors themselves, for

1 Jun 2018

Complex System Analyzer

The Complex System Analyser is a participatory tool that was developed by the JRC together with a range of experts. Its purpose is to decompose and analyse any complex system so as identify the key leverage points on which to act if one wants to influence this system. It was developed to analyse the food chain in the context of food security. What the Complex System Analyzer provides The Complex System Analyser is a participatory

31 May 2018

Megatrends Implications Assessment

  The "Megatrends Implications Assessment" is a workshop tool on anticipatory thinking and foresight for policy makers developed by the JRC together with experts in Foresight from Future Impacts. It uses visual and facilitation techniques to structure a 360 degree review of political questions in an engaging way. What the Megatrends Implications Assessment provides The Megatrends workshop offers a short, easily accessible, very understandable, attractive workshop format on the basis of the FOR-KNOW megatrends that